The National Hurricane Center on Thursday lowered its forecast chances that a system that had moved over Florida the day previous could develop into the season’s next tropical depression or

Low pressure is expected to emerge over the Gulf of Mexico this week and it may move into a favorable environment for tropical cyclone development.

A disturbance hurricane forecasters were tracking Saturday in the Gulf of Mexico could bring heavy rains to the region next week, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Is it merely another drippy week along the Gulf Coast—or perhaps the beginning of something much more significant? With the Atlantic hurricane season cranking up, everyone is following a large area of showers and thunderstorms chugging westward from the Florida Panhandle into the Gulf of Mexico.

Forecasters are warning of early signs of a potential tropical cyclone developing along the northeastern Gulf of Mexico. A low-pressure system that could bring storms to Florida before moving west has a medium chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next several days, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a trough of low pressure located over the panhandle of Florida. It is in the process of moving westward into the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and stay right along the coast as it moves west.

Meanwhile, the latest outlook from Colorado State University still points to an above-average hurricane season, but with a slightly less aggressive forecast than earlier projections. The updated forecast has reduced the expected numbers of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes by one in each category.