To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...

At the end of 2024, no AI had even managed to place 100th in one of the major competitions. But they have since vaulted up the leaderboards. AIs have already proved that they can make superhuman ...

A fox, a hedgehog and an LLM – it sounds like the beginning of a joke, but this is in fact the introduction to a topic that is consuming the attention of Philip Tetlock, psychology professor, ...

AI agents help businesses stop guessing — linking predictions to actions so teams can move from “what might happen” to ...

When we set our expectations and operate based on the sequence of events that unfolded the last time a similar situation has occurred, we surrender to history.

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. Elon Musk is joined by other financial gurus who also predict universal wealth and a future ...

With a new year just underway, many of us are still thinking about how to make sure 2026 is the best year ever. This usually requires us to change things, some small and maybe some large. But whatever ...

Farmers and ranchers looking for answers about their future are most likely getting Magic 8 Ball-like answers these days. It’s hazy. Ask again later. Your guess is as good as anyone’s. But one ...