A presidential candidate must secure 270 electoral votes for victory, and winning the national popular ... aggregator 538, Trump wins 51 times out of 100 simulations while Biden wins 49 times ...

Biden's popular vote differential was also better than ... In 2008, Obama received 52.9% of the popular vote and 365 of the ...

It currently stands at -0.3. While this is lower than Biden's net rating in January 2021, which stood at +23, according to 538, Trump is still more popular than ever. This time last year ...