Pollster Nate Silver said he believes there is “hidden good news” for Democrats in the 2024 election results, despite the ...

Nate Silver pointed to some "hidden good news" for Democrats in this year's election results. Republicans had a solid showing ...

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every forecaster.

Newsweek has rounded up the pollster's most recent predictions about Kamala Harris chances in the presidential election.

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala ...

The pollster released a long blog post detailing why Trump won and took down his election model, which had predicted a Harris win.

“I kind of trust pollsters less,” said Silver about election forecasts, alleging that pollsters are putting their “finger on the scale.” News Reporter Polling data expert Nate Silver ...

Breaking News Reporter Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night. Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was ...

The remaining 270 simulations resulted in an Electoral College tie, Silver said, adding that he would usually only run 40,000 simulations. Nate Silver has shared his final polling model for the ...

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

BOSTON — As editor and founder of FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver makes a living by predicting the outcomes of sporting events and political elections. But even his exhaustive statistical ...