All hope for Democrats is not lost just yet, according to prominent statistician Nate Silver, who wrote a week after the 2024 ...

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

Nate Silver pointed to some "hidden good news" for Democrats in this year's election results.

Pollster Nate Silver said he believes there is “hidden good news” for Democrats in the 2024 election results, despite the ...

Trump swept to victory, winning 295 Electoral College votes so far, but Harris had been predicted to win by almost every forecaster.

When I say the odds in this year’s presidential race are about as close as you can possibly get to 50/50, I’m not ...

All 435 seats are up for grabs, with 218 needed to win a majority. Entering the 2024 election, Republicans hold a slim ...

Trump loses but wins the popular vote and we read a million opinion pieces about how actually the Electoral College saved ...

The polls are open, and investors are in wait-and-see mode to find out whether Harris or Trump will win — and how long it'll take to get a clear outcome.

The polls are open, and investors are in wait-and-see mode to find out whether Harris or Trump will win — and how long it'll take to get a clear outcome.

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris enter the final frantic stretch of the campaign with less than 48 hours until Election Day. A ...

The bottom line is that modern pollsters are trying to correct for known forms of possible bias in their samples by making subjective adjustments to the data. If their judgments are correct, then ...